What do classical economists assume




















These choices will be signaled globally to our partners and will not affect browsing data. We and our partners process data to: Actively scan device characteristics for identification. I Accept Show Purposes. Your Money. Personal Finance. Your Practice. Popular Courses. Economy Economics. What Is Classical Economics? Key Takeaways Classical economic theory was developed shortly after the birth of western capitalism. It refers to the dominant school of thought for economics in the 18th and 19th centuries.

Classical economic theory helped countries to migrate from monarchic rule to capitalistic democracies with self-regulation. Theories to explain value, price, supply, demand, and distribution, was the focus of classical economics. Classical economics was eventually replaced with more updated ideas, such as Keynesian economics, which called for more government intervention.

Compare Accounts. The offers that appear in this table are from partnerships from which Investopedia receives compensation. This compensation may impact how and where listings appear. Investopedia does not include all offers available in the marketplace. Social Sciences Social sciences are a group of academic disciplines that examine society and how people interact and develop as a culture. Labor Theory Of Value Definition The labor theory of value LTV was an early attempt by economists to explain why goods were exchanged for certain relative prices on the market.

Capitalism Capitalism is an economic system whereby monetary goods are owned by individuals or companies. The purest form of capitalism is free market or laissez-faire capitalism. Here, private individuals are unrestrained in determining where to invest, what to produce, and at which prices to exchange goods and services. What Is Underconsumption? It analyzed and explained the price of goods and services in addition to the exchange value. Adam Smith : Adam Smith was one of the individuals who helped establish classical economic theory.

Keynesian economics states that in the short-run, economic output is substantially influenced by aggregate demand. Keynesian economics states that in the short-run, especially during recessions, economic output is substantially influenced by aggregate demand the total spending in the economy. According to the Keynesian theory, aggregate demand does not necessarily equal the productive capacity of the economy. Keynesian theorists believe that aggregate demand is influenced by a series of factors and responds unexpectedly.

The shift in aggregate demand impacts production, employment, and inflation in the economy. At the time that Keynesian theory was developed, mainstream economic thought believed that the economy existed in a state of general equilibrium. The belief was that the economy naturally consumes whatever it produces because the act of producing creates enough income in the economy for that consumption to take place.

It is important to understand the stances of the various school of economic thought. Although the beliefs of each school vary, all of the schools of economic thought have contributed to economic theory is some way.

The Keynesian School of economic thought emphasized the need for government intervention in order to stabilize and stimulate the economy during a recession or depression. In contrast, the Chicago School of economic thought focused price theory, rational expectations, and free market policies with little government intervention.

The Austrian School of economic thought focused on the belief that all economic phenomena are caused by the subjective choices of individuals. Unlike other schools, the Austrian school focused on individual actions instead of society as a whole. Privacy Policy. Skip to main content. Aggregate Demand and Supply. Search for:. Introducing Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply. Explaining Fluctuations in Output In the short run, output fluctuates with shifts in either aggregate supply or aggregate demand; in the long run, only aggregate supply affects output.

Learning Objectives Differentiate between short-run and long-run effects of nominal fluctuations. Key Takeaways Key Points In the short run, output is determined by both the aggregate supply and aggregate demand within an economy. The equilibrium is the point where supply and demand meet.

According to Hume, in the short-run, and increase in the money supply will lead to an increase in production. In complex systems, the predictability that is so successful in the controlled worlds of the lab and engineering has not worked and yet theories claiming predictability have misled policy makers and continue to do so [ Taylor and Shipley argue that we should learn from th current economic and financial crisis that:.

In the introduction to his book Against The Gods , a treatise that deals with the questions of relevance of risk management techniques on Wall Street, Peter L. Bernstein , p. This is a controversy that has never been resolved. One would hope that the empirical evidence of the collapse of those "masters of the economic universe " that have dominate Wall Street machinations for the last three decades has at least created doubt regarding the applicability of classical ergodic theory to our economic world.

John Maynard Keynes's ideas support Bernstein's latter group. Keynes specifically argued that the uncertainty of the economic future can not be resolved by looking at statistical patterns of the past. Keynes's believed that today's economic decisions regarding spending and saving depend on individuals' subjective degree of belief regarding possible future events.

Yet in truth there is no remedy except to throw over the axiom of parallels and to work out a non-Euclidean geometry. Something similar is required today in economics. To create a non-Euclidean economics to explain why these unemployment "collisions" occur in the world of experience Keynes had to deny "throw over" the relevance of several classical axioms for understanding the real world.

The classical ergodic axiom which assumes that the future is known and can be calculated as the statistical shadow of the past was one of the most important classical assertions that Keynes rejected. Instead Keynes argued that when crucial economic decisions had to be made, decision makers could not merely assume that the future can be reduced to quantifiable risks calculated from already existing market data.

Although in his discussion of uncertainty Keynes did not know or use the dichotomy between an ergodic and nonergodic stochastic system in his criticism of Tinbergen's methodology Keynes notes that economic time series can not be stationary because "the economic environment is not homogeneous over a period of time".

Nonstationarity is a sufficient but not a necessary condition for a nonergodic stochastic process. Accordingly, Keynes was implicitly arguing that economic processes over time occur in a nonergodic economic environment. For decisions that involved potential large spending outflows or possible large income inflows that span a significant length of time, people "know" that they do not know what the future will be.

Nevertheless, society has attempted to create institutions that will provide people with some control over their uncertain economic destinies. In capitalist economies the use of money and legally binding money contracts to organize production and sales of goods and services permits individuals to have some control over their cash inflows and outflows and therefore some control of their monetary economic future.

Purchase contracts provide household decision makers with some monetary cost control over major aspects of their cost of living today and for months and perhaps years to come. Sales contracts provide business firms with the legal promise of current and future cash inflows sufficient to meet the business firms' costs of production and generate a profit.

People and business firms willingly enter into contracts because each party thinks it is in their best interest to fulfil the terms of the contractual agreement.

If, because of some unforeseen event, either party to a contract finds itself unable or unwilling to meet its contractual commitments, then the judicial branch of the government will enforce the contract and require the defaulting party to either meet its contractual obligations or pay a sum of money sufficient to reimburse the other party for all monetary damages and losses incurred.

Thus, as the biographer of Keynes, Lord Robert Skidelsky has noted, for Keynes "injustice is a matter of uncertainty, justice a matter of contractual predictability".

In other words, by entering into contractual arrangements people assure themselves a measure of predictability in terms of their contractual cash inflows and outflows, even in a world of economic uncertainty. In their book, Arrow and Hahn , pp. In particular, if money is the goods in terms of which contracts are made, then the prices of goods in terms of money are of special significance. This is not the case if we consider an economy without a past or future [ Only Keynes's liquidity theory explaining the operation of a capitalist economy provides this serious monetary theory as a way of coping with an uncertain future.

Money is that thing that government decides will settle all legal contractual obligations. This definition of money is much wider than the definition of legal tender which is "This note is legal tender for all debts, private and public". For business firms and households the maintenance of one's liquid status is of prime importance if bankruptcy is to be avoided. In our world, bankruptcy is the economic equivalent of a walk to the gallows. Maintaining one's liquidity permits a person or business firm to avoid the gallows of bankruptcy.

Since the future is uncertain, we never know when we might be suddenly faced with a payment obligation at a future date that we did not, and could not, anticipate, and which we could not meet out of the cash inflows expected at that future date. Or else we might suddenly find an expected cash inflow disappears for an unexpected reason. Accordingly we have a precautionary liquidity motive for maintaining a positive bank balance plus further enhancing our liquidity position to cushion the blow of any unanticipated events that may occur in the uncertain future.

If individuals suddenly believe the future is more uncertain than it was yesterday, then it will be only human to try to reduce cash outflow payments for goods and services today in order to increase our liquidity position to handle any uncertain adverse future events since our fear of the future has increased. The most obvious way of reducing cash outflow is to spend less income on produced goods and services - that is to save more out of current income.

This need for check book balancing and desire for an additional liquidity cushion is an irrelevant concept for the people who inhabit the artificial world of classical economic theory where the future is risky but reliably predictable.

As we have already noted the complete markets paradigm of classical theory ensures that no one in this mythical world would ever enter into a contractual payment obligation they could not meet since every person would know their future net income and spending pattern today and at every date in the future. If some participant do enter into wrong contracts, they are permitted to recontract without any income penalty - a solution that is not permitted in our world of experience.

Efficient markets would never permit people to spend an amount that so exceeds their income that the debt can not be serviced. Markets would not be efficient, if people today enter into contractual transactions that they can not fulfil when the future occurs.

Wouldn't credit card holders who are having trouble meeting even their monthly minimum credit card payment obligations and those mortgage borrowers who were foreclosed out of their homes be happy to know if only they had lived in the classical world of efficient markets, they would never have become entrapped in such burdensome contractual arrangements? In a Keynes analysis, on the other hand, the civil law of contracts and the importance of maintaining liquidity play crucial roles in understanding the operations of a capitalist economy - both from a domestic national standpoint and in the context of a globalized economy where each nation may employ a different currency and even different civil laws of contracts.

I can not pursue, in this paper, the international aspect of money and contracts, but I do discuss it in my book Davidson, and my forthcoming book Davidson, In Keynes's theory the sanctity of money contracts is the essence of the entrepreneurial system we call capitalism. Since money is that thing that can always discharge a contractual obligation under the civil law of contracts, money is the most liquid of all assets.

Nevertheless other liquid assets exist that have some lower degree of liquidity than money since these other assets cannot be "tended" i. As long as these other assets can be readily resold for money liquidated in a well organized and orderly financial market, however, they will possess a degree of liquidity. A rapid sale of the liquid asset for money will permit people to use the money received from the sale of financial assets to meet their contractual obligations.

By an orderly market we mean that the price on the next sale of a financial asset transaction to be executed will not differ by very much from the price of the previous transaction. As Peter L. Bernstein, author of the bestseller Against The Gods , has noted the existence of orderly financial markets for liquid assets encourage each holder investor of these securities to believe they can execute a fast exit strategy at any moment when they suddenly decide they are dissatisfied with the way things are happening without liquidity for these stocks, the risks of being a minority stock holder owner in a business enterprise would be intolerable.

Nevertheless the liquidity of orderly equity markets and it's promotion of fast exit strategies makes the separation of ownership and control management of business enterprises an important economic problem that economists and politicians have puzzled over since the s. In fact, Greenspan's surprise that the managers of large investment bankers were not protecting the interests of the owners of these corporations indicates he does not understand the difference liquid markets make in driving a wedge between ownership and control.

In classical theory there can never be a separation in the decision making between owners and managers. In my paper "Securitization, liquidity and market failure" Davidson, b I explain why, as long as the future is uncertain and not just probabilistically risky, the price that liquid assets can sell for at any future date in a free market could vary dramatically and almost instantaneously.

In the worse case scenario liquid financial assets could become unsaleable illiquid at any price as the market collapses fails in a disorderly manner creating toxic assets. This is what happened in the mortgage backed securities MBS markets. To assure holders of liquid securities that the market price for their holdings will always change in an orderly manner, there must exist a person or firm in the market called a "market maker".

The existence of this market maker assures the public that if, at any time, most holders of the financial asset suddenly want to execute a fast exit strategy and sell, while few or no people want to buy this liquid asset, the market maker has the obligation to enter the market and purchase a sufficient volume of the asset being offered for sale to assure that the new market price of the asset will change continuously in an "orderly" manner from the price of the last transaction.

In essence the market maker assures the holders of a liquid asset that they can always execute a fast exit strategy at a price not much different than the last price.

In the New York Stock Exchange these market makers are called "specialists". Orderliness is a necessary condition to convince holders of the traded asset that they can readily liquidate their position at a market price close to the last publically announced price.

In other words, orderliness is necessary to maintain liquidity in these markets. Orderliness provides preventive medicine against toxic assets. Modern financial efficient market theory suggests that these quaint institutional arrangements for market maker specialists to create orderliness are antiquated in this computer age. With the computer and the internet, it is implied that the meeting of huge numbers of buyers and sellers can be done rapidly and efficiently in virtual space.

Consequently there is no need for humans to act as specialists who keep the books and also make the market when necessary to assure the public the market is well organized and orderly. The computer can keep the book on buy and sell orders, matching them in an orderly manner, more rapidly and more cheaply than the humans who had done these things in the past.

In the many financial markets that failed in the Winter of e. A necessary condition for these markets to be efficient is that the probabilistic risk of the debtors to fail to meet all future cash flow contractual debt obligations can be "known" with actuarial certainty. With this actuarial knowledge, it can be profitable for insurance companies to provide holders of these financial assets with insurance guaranteeing solvency and the payment of interest and principal liabilities by the debtors.

In the classical efficient market theory, any observed market price variation around the actuarial value price determined by fundamentals is presumed to be statistical "white noise". Any statistician will tell you, if the size of the sample increases, then the variance i. Since computers can bring together many more buyers and sellers globally than the antiquated pre computer market arrangements, the size of the sample of trading participants in the computer age will rise dramatically.

If, therefore, you believe in efficient market theory, then permitting computers to organize the market will decease significantly the variance and therefore increase the probability of a more well organized and orderly market than existed in the pre-computer era.

If the efficient market theory is applicable to our world, then how can we explain so many securitized financial markets failing in the sense that investors are finding themselves locked into investments they can't cash out of? Keynes's Liquidity theory can provide the explanation. Keynes presumes that the economic future is uncertain.

If future outcomes can not be reliably predicted on the basis of existing past and present data, then there is no actuarial basis for insurance companies to provide holders of these assets protection against unfavorable outcomes.



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